This is a lie. It is NOT estimated that 46% died.
V.I. Zemskov, an anti-Stalin historian, has specialized in deportations
generally. His estimate is that of 151,720 Crimean Tatars deported, 191
died during the course of deportation.
That is 0.13 per cent. Not 13%, POINT 13 percent.
I've got this book, _Spetsposelentsy v SSSR, 1930-1960_ (Moscow 2003).
The number is on p. 111, and the footnote is to archival sources.
If you want a scanned copy of the page, let me know; I've got the book
here (it's in Russian, of course).
(This figure is cited approvingly by anti-Soviet historian Sergei
Maksudov. If you want the reference, let me know.)
In my view, this is a pretty low figure. It may even be lower than the
normal mortality rate during winter for a population of this size. It is
CERTAINLY MUCH LOWER than the mortality rate of civilians in
German-occupied areas, or in areas where the war raged! (The Crimea was
occupied by the Nazis for several years).
N.F. Bugai, a very anti-Stalin scholar, has specialized in these
deportations since the end of the USSR, and has published numerous books
on the subject.
He has ONE essay that I know of in English, in Russian Studies in
History. So, this one you could check yourself!
It's not about the Tatars -- about whom there's more evidence, BTW --
but about the Chechen-Ingush.
Bugai, N.F., A.M.Gomov. “The Forced Evacuation of the Chechens and the
Ingush.” Russian Studies in History. vol. 41, no. 2, Fall 2002
Here's a quote:
NKVD records attest to 180 convoy trains carrying 493,269 Chechen and
Ingush nationals and members of other nationalities seized at the same
time. Fifty people were killed in the course of the operation, and 1,272
died on the journey. (p. 56)
This is about double the above rate -- POINT 27 per cent; POINT 26 per
cent if you exclude the 50 killed in the course of disarming, etc. them.
Since it happened in the winter, and during the fiercest war in
European, perhaps world, history, that figure does not seem very high.
Once again, it is a lot lower than the rate suffered by Soviet civilians
in occupied areas.
Bugai would not repeat this figure if he did not believe it were true.
He considers the whole deportation business a "crime of Stalinism."
The bottom line is that you just cannot take the Conquests, Applebaums,
and other anti-communist liars at face value.
But who is going to check this stuff? And if you do check it (see above)
-- who is going to publish it?
So lies like this get spread around all the time.
"Don't drink water from a poisoned well." NEVER believe ANYTHING the
anticommunists say.
Sincerely,
Grover Furr