1) What do you mean by "Leninism"
2) No because revolutions aren't based on singular ideology or "theory"
He wasn't really in the business of making predictions.
I don't think that increased pain necessarily means increased chance of revolt. Workers in America are worse off than workers anywhere in Western Europe, yet which working class is more complacent?
That person is, first of all, totally ignorant of history, and secondly, taking an extremely mechanistic view of things. Class was a hella strange beast in Russia, seeing as a huge bulk of the "peasantry" would often into the cities for half the year to work temporarily as industrial workers. The trouble with the peasants was definitely something that gave the Bolsheviks trouble but I don't think it would've been even that much of a problem if it wasn't for the Civil War dragging Russia back into the 19th century.
So yeah he's wrong and if anyone comes at you with this ultra-strict adherence to "stages" bullshit then they are wrong and dumb. Russia was a capitalist society.


"There are decades when nothing happens; and there are weeks when decades happen." - Lenin
