Yemen is in the news again

[Rusty Shackleford]

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...082406763.html

its 2 pages so i just quoted chunks that i thought were the most interesting while reading it instead of trying to quote the whole thing.

For the first time since the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, CIA analysts see one of al-Qaeda's offshoots - rather than the core group now based in Pakistan - as the most urgent threat to U.S. security, officials said.
The sober new assessment of al-Qaeda's affiliate in Yemen has helped prompt senior Obama administration officials to call for an escalation of U.S. operations there - including a proposal to add armed CIA drones to a clandestine campaign of U.S. military strikes, the officials said.
"We are looking to draw on all of the capabilities at our disposal," said a senior Obama administration official, who described plans for "a ramp-up over a period of months."

Philip Mudd, a former senior official at the CIA and the FBI, argues in a forthcoming article that the threat of a Sept. 11-style attack has been supplanted by a proliferation of plots by AQAP and other affiliates. "The sheer numbers . . . suggest that one of the plots in the United States will succeed," he writes in the latest issue of CTC Sentinel, a publication of the Combating Terrorism Center at the U.S. Military Academy in West Point, N.Y. In the future, he said, "the Pakistan-Afghanistan border region will not be the sole, or even primary, source of bombing suspects."

An airstrike on a suspected gathering of al-Qaeda operatives in Marib province on May 25 involved a cruise missile launched from a U.S. naval vessel. Among those killed was the deputy governor in the province, who was reportedly seeking to persuade the militants to give up their arms. The human rights group Amnesty International later said it found evidence that U.S. cluster munitions were used in the attack.

A senior Yemeni official indicated that the government would not welcome CIA drones. "I don't think we will ever consider it," the official said. "The situation in Yemen is different than in Afghanistan or Pakistan. It is still under control."
Introducing a covert CIA capability might also improve the U.S. ability to carry out attacks - perhaps from a U.S. base in Djibouti - if the Yemeni government were to curtail its cooperation.
That relationship is "in as positive a place as we've been for some time," the senior administration official said. But, he added, "we always have to be in a position where we are able to protect our own interests should that be necessary."

In all, the CIA wants to increase its presence in Yemen. Yemen doesnt like that idea. The CIA may just do its operations out of Djibouti anyways, regardless of the Yemeni government's will. Maybe by spring next year CIA drone attacks will be a common occurrence like in Pakistan.


What does this mean for the region if the US is seeking to become more involved in yet another country in the Middle East?

[Crvena-Zastava]

*Groan* I would rather not think.

Look at it this way; if the United States does start getting involved and starts to deploy troops and military equipment there they wont be getting rid of Terrorism in the region; they will be increasing it. Terrorist groups will come to Yemen so they can launch terrorist attacks against the U.S Military stationed there.

I think that [Unfortunately] the U.S Army is not realizing that they cannot defeat Terrorism via conventional means. If Al-Qaeda started rolling over the desert with tanks and IFV's then the U.S would have cleaned up Afghanistan within months, but the Guerilla warfare [Or as Keith Suter calls it, "Complex Iregular Warfare"] is what is making the War on Terrorism such a long, costly campaign; You cant stamp it out with force.

This is why they lost in Vietnam.