What next for China?

[RSS News]

It is 60 years since the Communist Party came to power in China. Send us your thoughts.

(Feed provided by BBC News | Have your Say (http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/rss/-/2/hi/talking_point/default.stm))

[fabilius]

As difficult as it is to predict the future I´ll say this is certain:

The economy will keep growing, but at not as quickly as it used too. Conditions will be similar for the working class. China will continue to compete with the US in Africa for resources and it´s appetite will be unsatisfied.

Huge part of the male population will be unable to find a wife due to the one child policy. (The parents often abort or leave girls aside due to cultural and economical reasons). This will lead to growing resentment towards the government, the poorest males will be a problem, but perhaps the party will solve it by going into a needless war somewhere.

Eventually China will surpass US in the size of the economy (but probably not army), but it will not be a hegemonic power since India will also grow, and probably Russia as well.

I wish I could predict a true workers revolution, but I'm not such an optimistic person.

[Dimentio]

India won't be able to compete with China for too long. It is too decentralised, has too many crippling traces of feudalism left, and doesn't have a strong government. And it is too peripheral.

Neither Russia would be able to compete with China for long. Russia's only strength compared with China is that Russia has ICBM's.

[revolt4thewin]

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M44m0c4cAwM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lUR57UbA5gs
Let the race begin.:D

[bailey_187]

Huge part of the male population will be unable to find a wife due to the one child policy. (The parents often abort or leave girls aside due to cultural and economical reasons). This will lead to growing resentment towards the government, the poorest males will be a problem, but perhaps the party will solve it by going into a needless war somewhere.

This isnt such a problem. Where this practice happened, in the country side (people thought a boy was best for farming), the one child policy is relaxed (and in ethnic minority areas e.g. Tibet).

[SurrogateofTime]

Whats next? Even more brutal repression and capitalism by the Chinese regime against the working class people.

And as the population grows... Dissent will further grow against the state... And as the dissent grows, either two things will happen... One would be a revolution as done by the Chinese people and the second would be repression of the working class people to an even more extreme level.

[x359594]

...Russia's only strength compared with China is that Russia has ICBM's.

...and oil.

[red cat]

In the USSR, the revisionists preserved the structure of totalitarian state capitalist rule until they were overthrown by the Russian capital which was previously in exile. Such a capital is absent in case of China. Now the most important thing to observe is how the Chinese revisionists optimize their class dictatorship; whether they change into an openly capitalist structure, or continue in the present mode until they are overthrown by a socialist revolution.

[Tatarin]

I'm with red cat on this one, and I think the CPC is, mostly, a stature of face rather than action. Business management rather than government - police protecting property (or, PPP, if you may). The red color isn't what it used to be...