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butterfly
28th January 2009, 05:21
Monday January 12, 2009

Lately, we hear a lot of predictions about future energy shortages. Yet, while energy is certainly important, oil and electricity can’t hold a candle to food when it comes to sustaining life. And scientists now are predicting that food soon may be in short supply for billions of people worldwide.

According to a study published in the journal Science, half of the world’s population could face severe food shortages (http://environment.about.com/od/globalwarming/a/food_shortages.htm)by the end of this century, as rising temperatures reduce crop yields in the tropics and when the population is expected to be double what it is now.

"You can let it happen and painfully adapt, or you can plan for it,” said David Battisti, a scientist at the University of Washington who led the study. “You could also mitigate [climate change] and not let it happen in the first place, but we're not doing a very good job of that."
No argument there.

The Kyoto Protocol (http://environment.about.com/od/kyotoprotocol/i/kyotoprotocol.htm), intended to unite the world’s nations in the fight to slow global warming, has done little to achieve that goal, and subsequent international conferences have also fallen short of creating a workable strategy that most countries will support.
Yet while climate change—and shortages of food, water, clean air and other life essentials—certainly affect individual nations, they are global problems that can’t be solved unilaterally. Eventually, the human race either learns to live and work together, despite national boundaries and cultural differences, or we will all perish.

http://environment.about.com/b/2009/01/12/billions-of-people-face-food-shortages-due-to-global-warming.htm

ÑóẊîöʼn
28th January 2009, 06:38
A century is long enough to get our house in order, food production-wise. This sounds like a cry for funding.

butterfly
28th January 2009, 06:44
I hope so...funding for whom?

ÑóẊîöʼn
28th January 2009, 07:12
I hope so...funding for whom?

Whoever wrote the study of course. Climate change is a "hot topic" right now and if one can whip up a suitably alarming "prediction", then they'll get plenty of attention.

butterfly
28th January 2009, 07:20
This is not the first report to make such predictions...i'd also say that the economy is the 'hot topic' issue atm.

ÑóẊîöʼn
28th January 2009, 07:26
This is not the first report to make such predictions...

True, the ghost of Malthus has yet to be exorcised, in spite of that miserable parson's complete and utter failure to appreciate human ingenuity.


i'd also say that the economy is the 'hot topic' issue atm.It's a new kid on the block, and besides the pseudoscientific maunderings of borgeouis economists are incomprehensible to most people. But it's easy to understand hysterical screams to the effect of "the sky is falling!"

Lynx
28th January 2009, 07:27
At some point they should go ahead and begin the actual planning, as one of the scientists suggested.

butterfly
28th January 2009, 07:53
This lack of trust in human ingenuity cannot just be attributed to the ghost of Malthus and without this appreciation you cannot rule out predictions such as above.

ÑóẊîöʼn
28th January 2009, 08:43
At some point they should go ahead and begin the actual planning, as one of the scientists suggested.

There's plenty of land in Russia we could use (http://english.pravda.ru/business/finance/04-05-2008/105067-russia_prevent_global_food_cris-0):


Today grain supplies are volatile. However, fundamental demand increases will likely be met by countries with highly fertile but under-utilised land. Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan top the list of beneficiaries of this changing landscape.

...


Multiple ownership resulted in a "free rider" dilemma for the new owners of land ie, the efforts of individual contributions are shared equally. Consequently, in the last 15 years, some 40m hectares of rich farmland have lain fallow. And what is farmed is low yielding. Russia grows some two tons of wheat per hectare when it has the potential to produce five tons of wheat per hectare.
The ramifications are significant. From 75m tons of cereal output in 2007, Russia could multiply its grain output several-fold simply by enhancing yield management and bringing fallow land back into production. It could produce some 300m tons of cereals without the necessity of producing on virgin land.There's talk of using this farmland to grow biofuels, but I think that's a blindingly stupid idea. Fuck biofuels, feeding people is much more important than fueling some yuppie twat's SUV.

There was a BBC article along similar lines, but I can't find it. :cursing:

Also, genetic engineering and climate change could open up new potential farmlands.


This lack of trust in human ingenuity cannot just be attributed to the ghost of Malthus and without this appreciation you cannot rule out predictions such as above.

Sure, Malthus was not the first Chicken Little and certainly not the last. There's always been a vocal minority who get off on spouting apocalyptic doomsaying, and there certainly seems to be a market for it.

But the fact of the matter is that all predictions of doom have come to naught. Sure, given enough time, something bad is going to happen - but unless we're either A) extremely unlucky (an asteroid hits tomorrow) or B) mind-meltingly stupid (We sit and do nothing for a century while climate change ruins our crops), humanity isn't doomed.

butterfly
28th January 2009, 12:25
Humanity is not doomed however those least equip to deal with the effects will suffer to a great extent unless, as you said, there is a great deal of confidence in the scientists and engineers of this world.

Bright Banana Beard
31st January 2009, 02:56
I find it sickening that Sim Creators DS have a age called Global Warning (aka modern period), FUCK YOU!